Saturday, November 9, 2013
:
2:25 PM
DuPont (Westin Georgetown)
*Names in bold indicate Presenter
This paper uses a unique natural experiment to investigate the sensitivity of American college women's contraceptive choice and sexual behavior to the price of prescription birth control. With the passage of the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005, Congress inadvertently and unexpectedly increased the effective price of birth control pills ("the Pill") at college health centers more than three-fold, from $5 to $10 a month to between $30 and $50 a month. Using two different data sets, we employ multiple empirical strategies--including interrupted time-series, quasi-difference-in-differences, and fixed effects--for identification, and we find consistent results across data sets and methodologies. Our benchmark estimates show that this policy change reduced use of the Pill by at least 1 to 1.8 percentage points, or 2 to 4 percent, among all college women. For college women who lacked health insurance or carried large credit card balances, the decline was two to three times as large. Women who lack insurance and have sex infrequently appear to substitute toward emergency contraception; uninsured women who are frequent sex participants appear to substitute toward non-prescription forms of birth control. We also find modest but significant decreases in frequency of intercourse and the number of sex partners, suggesting that some women may be substituting away from sexual behavior in general. Finally, supplementing our data with a unique survey on how and where birth control prescriptions are filled, we are able to bound the price elasticity of Pill usage between -0.09 and -0.04.
Full Paper:
- Collins_Hershbein_1013.pdf (656.5KB)