Panel Paper: How Long Do Early Career Decisions Follow Women? The Impact of Industry and Firm Size History On the Middle-Age Wage Gap

Thursday, November 7, 2013 : 3:00 PM
Thomas Boardroom (Westin Georgetown)

*Names in bold indicate Presenter

Martha Stinson1, Holly Monti2 and Lori Reeder2,3, (1)U.S. Census Bureau, (2)US Census Bureau, (3)University of Maryland
In this paper, we consider the career decisions of mothers about the industry and size of their employers and the impact of these choices on their long-term earnings.  Specifically, we ask whether the distribution of women, both mothers and not, across industry and firm size changes relative to men as workers move through their child-raising years.  We then investigate what effect these distributional changes over time might have on the gender wage gap and the motherhood wage penalty.  Using a new job-level data set created by merging job reports from the Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) to job reports in IRS/SSA W-2 tax reports, we can follow the work history of men and women from 1978 forward as they change employers, observing earnings and some characteristics of the employers such as industry and firm size.  We use reported labor supply in combination with administrative earnings to calculate wages for these men and women at the time of the SIPP survey. We then investigate wage determination at age 45 and older. 

We seek to add to the literature on the causes of the motherhood-wage penalty and to the literature on the contribution of industry to the gender wage gap by using a longitudinal history of industry and firm size instead of a point-in-time measure.  Because we observe firm characteristics at multiple points in time, we can observe the gender distribution across industries when workers are just beginning their careers, after children are born, and in later, post-fertility years.  Initially, we consider all women prior to childbirth and compare their distribution across industry and firm size to that of men of the same age.  We then ask how this distribution changes as women have children (or not) and how it further evolves as the children age.  This allows us first to determine whether mothers initially switch to industries and firms likely to be “family-friendly” and whether this results in a wage cut.  Second, we can observe whether they switch back again later in life and return to similar wage levels as their childless female peers or whether these changes early in the career continue to impact women after the childbearing years have passed.  It also allows us to ask whether childless women are initially different from men but adjust their industry and firm-size choices over time so that their earnings profiles are more similar to men’s, and if so, what impact this has on the male-female wage gap.  We use a traditional decomposition method that accounts for differences in the gender ratio and wages in each industry and firm-size category as well as for observed characteristics and unobserved heterogeneity of people and firms. Decomposition enables us to parse the gender and motherhood wage gaps into components that are attributable to choices women make about industry and firm size.