*Names in bold indicate Presenter
This paper starts from the idea that serendipity is a hypothesis, not a fact. In it, I provide a preliminary report on a study of serendipity in research funded by the U.S. National Institutes of Health (NIH). I examine the serendipity hypothesis as it has typically been articulated debates about NIH funding: the claim that progress against specific diseases often results from unplanned research, or unexpectedly from research oriented towards different diseases. To do so, I compare the disease foci of NIH grants to those of the publications and drugs that result.
- SSRN-id2545515.pdf (492.8KB)