Panel Paper: Leadership Assessments and Prediction of Organizational Performance: No Quick Fix!

Saturday, November 5, 2016 : 2:05 PM
Holmead West (Washington Hilton)

*Names in bold indicate Presenter

Christian Jacobsen and Ulrich Thy Jensen, Aarhus University


Perhaps the most important topic in public management research concerns the management-performance nexus (Rainey 1997). Research into this domain typically relies on perceptual measures of management practices obtained through surveys to managers (e.g., studies based on Texas school data (e.g., Meier et al. 2006; Meier & O’Toole 2003), the National Administrative Studies Project (e.g., Moynihan & Pandey 2015; Wright & Pandey 2010) and the American State Administrators’ Project (e.g., Jacobson et al. 2010) offer some examples). However, managers’ self-assessments can be imprecise, unreliable and biased due to social desirability and self-enhancement (Meier & O’Toole 2014) and recent studies have consequently called for an increased use of employee other-assessments of management practices (Favero et al. 2016; Jacobsen & Andersen 2015). Yet, little research has explored the potential gains of using employee assessments for predicting organizational performance. This paper offers a theoretical and empirical contribution to help close this gap.

Theoretically, two perspectives may explain why employee assessments offer a viable alternative to managers’ self-assessments. First, using employee assessments can be preferable in labor-intensive organizations, which characterizes most public service organizations, because management practices can be expected to have the greatest impact on employee behaviors, when they are indeed perceived by employees (Wright & Nishii 2013). We therefore expect that employee ratings of management provide better predictions of organizational performance compared with managers’ self-ratings. Second, employee assessments allow researchers to draw on multiple raters (i.e., the number of employees in the organization), and this can greatly alleviate challenges from low reliability and measurement error linked to single assessments of management practices. In line with the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ argument (Surowiecki 2004), idiosyncratic noise linked to single assessments is expected to cancel out with an increasing number of raters. Our second expectation is therefore that a higher number of employee ratings yield better predictions of organizational performance.

Empirically, the expectations are tested on a data set from high schools containing identical measures of transformational and transactional leadership as rated by principals and teachers, and objective indicators on educational performance (e.g., school value added to student grades). Including high schools with more than 30 teacher responses, we investigate how manager and employee rated leadership are associated with organizational performance, and how well employee-rated leadership predicts organizational performance, when we rely on an increasing number of employee responses (randomly drawn from the pool of valid responses within organizations). Empirical results are expected to demonstrate that employee-rated leadership is correlated with organizational performance more strongly than manager-rated leadership, and that the strength of the former correlation increases, when more employee responses are included to reduce the random errors associated with single observations.

In sum, the paper potentially contributes to the debate on how best to measure management practices, how much researchers gain by investigating the management-performance nexus using employee ratings of management, and whether investing in obtaining more employee responses within single organizations is characterized by diminishing returns.