Panel Paper: Gun carrying prohibition and support for gun control: Evidence from Brazil

Friday, April 7, 2017 : 9:40 AM
Founders Hall Room 478 (George Mason University Schar School of Policy)

*Names in bold indicate Presenter

Rodrigo Schneider, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
In December 2003, Brazil enacted a gun carrying prohibition. The fine for illegal gun carrying, 2 to 4 years of incarceration, should immediately discourage carrying after the prohibition. Using a regression discontinuity design (RDD) and time as the assignment variable, I show that this policy decreased gun-related homicides by 4 to 10% per year. As a robustness check, I show that non-gun-related homicides were not affected by the law. Additionally, this work shows that places with a larger share of at-risk youth experienced a disproportionally larger decrease in gun violence and supported more the gun prohibition referendum that took place in Brazil 22 months after the gun carrying prohibition.