Thursday, November 6, 2014
:
9:30 AM
Galisteo (Convention Center)
*Names in bold indicate Presenter
This project studies the impact of the introduction of local college scholarship programs on teenage childbearing and juvenile crime. “Promise” scholarship programs are community programs that provide full-tuition scholarships for higher education to youth graduating from local high schools with the aim of facilitating college access for youth from disadvantaged backgrounds. Kalamazoo Promise was the first program of this kind and was announced in Kalamazoo, Michigan in 2005. Since then, dozens of similar programs have been launched in cities and counties across the country. Previous evaluations of the Kalamazoo Promise program find that changes in expected tuition costs result in fewer suspensions, increased likelihood of earning high school course credits, and—among African American students—higher grade point averages (Bartik & Lachowska, 2012). Despite the evidence that this program improves educational outcomes for teenagers, there has been no study of the potential impact of this program on non-academic outcomes for adolescents. The current study examines whether Kalamazoo Promise, EL Dorado Promise, Say Yes Syracuse, and other local scholarship programs alter risky behaviors among teenagers, in particular childbearing decisions and crime-committing activity. Local college scholarship programs may work against the economic “despair” that spurs teenage childbearing (Kearney & Levine, 2001) and engagement in crime by providing hope of economic advancement for poor teens through financial support for higher education. To analyze the impact of local college scholarship programs on teen birth and juvenile crime rates, the paper explores changes in county-level teen birth and juvenile crime rates after the announcement of a Promise-type program, leveraging triple-differences analysis and synthetic control group methods that have been developed for comparative case study analysis (Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller, 2010). Whether and how substantially youth respond is critical to assessing the relative costs and benefits of this type of intervention. Interestingly, we find evidence of some increases in our two broad, nonacademic outcomes of interest, but the impact estimates for black teens show a fairly consistent pattern of improvement on these behavioral domains (i.e., reductions in teen births and juvenile crimes) after the introduction of Promise programs.