Panel Paper:
Permanent Residency and the Job Mobility of High-Skilled Immigrants: Is There Evidence of Job Lock?
*Names in bold indicate Presenter
Using the National Survey of College Graduates, this paper compares the voluntary job-to-job transition patterns of skilled immigrant workers with their native counterparts. I find that these temporary professionals are indeed slightly less mobile than comparable native-born workers. Permanent residents and naturalized citizens, however, both have persistent higher probabilities to voluntarily switch employers than their native-born counterparts, even with full covariates. Empirical evidence on the reasons for these workers’ job moves points to three hypotheses: family ties, the difficulty of intra-firm promotions and the conjecture that these foreign-born workers start their career with reservation wages lower than natives, and therefore better labor market alternatives are more likely in the future.
This article also examines the effect of obtaining permanent resident status on the job mobility rate of workers initially on temporary work visas. An individual fixed effects model documents a 66% spike in the job mobility rate of immigrant workers immediately following their receipt of permanent residency, suggesting a significant and sizable institutional “job lock”. The pooled OLS regressions indicate a demand side restriction up to 27.8%, and a supply side effect of at least 25.4%. The lower bound of the supply side constraint suggests that policy remedies should undoubtedly target the regulations on employment-based green card applications, but the design of these remedies would depend on a complete cost-benefit analysis.